The New York Knicks made a dramatic comeback in Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Finals, overcoming a 14-point deficit to defeat the San Antonio Spurs 105-95. Despite this win, the Spurs are still considered strong contenders to equalize the series. Betting platforms like FanDuel list the Spurs as favorites, with a -225 moneyline and a -6.5 spread on a total of 215.5.
I recommend considering New York +6, decreasing to +5. My previous bets included the Knicks winning the title (+170) and winning by at least 1.5 games (+270). Given these stakes, I’m avoiding betting on San Antonio as a favorite in this series.
Karl-Anthony Towns Reflects on Game 1
Karl-Anthony Towns attributed a calm demeanor during Game 1 to the influence of his late mother. However, betting trends suggest caution. Home teams typically rebound in Game 2 following a loss in the series opener, often dominating the second game.
Best Bet for Game 2: UNDER 215.5
While some may favor betting the Over in Game 2, based on the ‘zigzag theory’ where one bets opposite the previous game’s result, betting the Under seems more prudent. Game 1 ended under the 217.5 total with the Knicks’ 105-95 victory. This result reflected strong defenses rather than shooting inconsistencies.
New York’s Mitchell Robinson effectively guarded San Antonio’s Victor Wembanyama, and Jalen Brunson faced difficult shots from San Antonio’s defense. The Knicks also have elite defenders in Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, and Josh Hart nicknamed “Wingstop,” who counter Spurs stars Stephon Castle and De’Aaron Fox effectively.
As the series progresses, expect less of a shootout style and more defensive battles. Neither team will look for quick points, given their offensive turnovers and rebounding strategies. Slower-paced games favor New York’s strong half-court offense over San Antonio’s aggressive approach.
Waiting until just before the game to bet on the Under might pay off, as public bets usually favor the Over, potentially raising the total. In high-stakes games like this, especially with the Knicks involved, public bets significantly influence the numbers.
Game 2 Prediction
The expectation is that the Knicks will edge out the Spurs with a score of 107-104.
Player Prop: Stephon Castle Under 16.5 Points
Considering the defensive setup of the Knicks, Spurs wing Stephon Castle may score under 16.5 points in Game 2.
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