The leadership in Iran appears to favor ongoing confrontation with the United States and Gulf neighbors over pursuing peace. The goal seems to be to maintain control over a dissatisfied population, according to human rights activist Dr. Majid Sadeghpour.
In recent days, U.S. forces have launched airstrikes against Iran, following a brief halt in hostility, sparked by renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Dr. Sadeghpour, political director of the Organization of Iranian-American Communities, shared that Tehran’s primary concern is not foreign military action, but unrest among its citizens.
Regime Dynamics
Anti-government protests have flared in Iran, reflecting economic challenges like inflation and dissatisfaction with strict religious governance. Sadeghpour pointed out that despite U.S. offers of peace guarantees to Iran, Tehran still targeted American bases and ships. This suggests that the regime perceives internal dissent as a bigger threat than external forces.
The human rights activist emphasized that Iran prefers continuous friction with the U.S. to shift the public’s focus away from domestic issues. Uprisings have been met with severe repression, including deadly force and arbitrary arrests.
Vice President JD Vance commented on Iran’s strategy of targeting commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, violating previous agreements. Vance noted Iran’s diminishing control over the Strait, calling the regime’s actions typical.
Potential for Change
To encourage regime change, Sadeghpour suggests that U.S. efforts should concentrate on supporting the Iranian populace. He argues that Iran’s leaders may prolong conflict with the U.S., fearing a calm population will seek regime change and external support.
Sadeghpour highlighted the regime’s fear of losing grip once citizens regain focus on internal governance challenges.
Trump’s Perspective
President Donald Trump recently stated he does not prioritize negotiations with Tehran, dismissing concerns over Iran’s adherence to agreements. On social media, Trump speculated on when the Iranian population will rise against the regime.