Democratic candidate Adam Hamawy, a physician and Army veteran, is currently leading several internal polls and prediction markets in New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District. Despite his success, Hamawy faces questions regarding past associations with a convicted terrorist and an organization once tied to Al-Qaeda. His campaign recently stressed the candidate’s patriotism, stating that his life reflects a deep love for the country.
Current Poll Standings in District 12
A crowded field of Democrats is seeking to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Though few polls have been conducted, two internal surveys sponsored by Hamawy indicate he is in the lead. A recent poll by Workbench Strategy, conducted from May 5-7, shows Hamawy with 19% of the vote. Trailing him are Sue Altman with 12%, East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen with 11%, and State Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson with 10%. This poll surveyed 400 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of 4.89 percentage points.
Another earlier poll by Workbench Strategy, conducted from March 30 to April 1, had Hamawy at 5%, with Reynolds-Jackson leading at 16%, Altman at 12%, and Cohen at 11%. It had a similar sample size and margin of error as the May survey.
Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket forecast Hamawy winning the seat, with respective probabilities of 86% and 85%. Polymarket shows considerable improvement in his odds over the prior month, placing Altman second at 7%, Reynolds-Jackson at 3.3%, and Cohen around 3%. Kalshi’s market also indicates a 9% chance for Princeton professor Sam Wang.
Hamawy receives backing from the Congressional Progressive Caucus, with PAC co-chairs Representatives Pramila Jayapal, Greg Casar, and Maxwell Frost praising his service and commitment.
Association with ‘The Blind Sheikh’
Hamawy’s connections to Omar Abdel-Rahman, known as “the Blind Sheikh,” have been highlighted by opponents. Cohen asked for clarification about Hamawy’s 1991 trip to Bosnia with an organization later linked to Al-Qaeda. Robinson, another candidate, acknowledged Hamawy’s patriotic service but suggested he needs to address his relationship with Abdel-Rahman.
In trial testimony, Hamawy acknowledged hearing Abdel-Rahman’s controversial comments on a 1991 car ride, but argued they were misrepresented. His campaign maintains that Hamawy condemns all violent acts and had no subsequent contact with Abdel-Rahman after his 1995 conviction.
Hamawy’s campaign highlights his distinguished service, noting his critical role as a first responder during 9/11 and his efforts in Iraq, emphasizing that these speak to his character and values both past and present.
Connection with Benevolence International Foundation
Hamawy’s involvement with the Benevolence International Foundation (BIF) during the Bosnian conflict has drawn scrutiny. BIF was linked to Al-Qaeda in 2002. Hamawy described his medical mission to Bosnia in 1994 as a humanitarian effort conducted through a U.N.-approved route. Although opponents criticize his BIF association, his spokesperson insists that labeling him with terrorist activities is unfounded and prejudiced.
Hamawy’s defenders, including Sam Wang, argue his actions in Bosnia were consistent with his humanitarian character and aligned with the needs at the time. Such efforts took place during the 1992-95 Bosnian War, a period of intense violence targeting Bosnian Muslims.
The district’s Democratic primary is scheduled for June 2, with voters ultimately deciding on the issues raised.