Hurricane Trudy persisted in delivering heavy rain and gusty winds to southwestern and west-central Mexico this Sunday. Forecasters cautioned that the storm posed a significant threat of life-threatening flooding and mudslides, particularly in regions with steep terrain.
At 8 a.m. MST on Sunday, Trudy exhibited maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. It was located roughly 115 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes and 165 miles west of Manzanillo, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The hurricane was progressing northwest at 8 mph.
The NHC forecasted that Trudy would bring an additional 2 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated storm totals nearing 12 inches along and near the southwest Mexican coast in Jalisco. The advisory highlighted the potential for life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas with steep terrain.
The hurricane’s center was predicted to start moving away from mainland Mexico on Sunday afternoon. However, its rain, winds, and coastal hazards were anticipated to continue impacting parts of the country.
The NHC warned of a “dangerous storm surge accompanied by damaging waves” likely where winds were blowing onshore within the warning areas. Swells caused by the hurricane were also anticipated to create “life-threatening surf and rip current conditions” in parts of southwestern and west-central Mexico.
Hurricane-force winds extended up to 30 miles from the center, while tropical-storm-force winds reached up to 105 miles, as noted in the advisory.
Mexico’s Navy announced closures of all navigation in Puerto Vallarta, Manzanillo, Lázaro Cárdenas, and Puerto Escondido due to Trudy. Several other ports were closed to small vessels.
Officials urged the maritime community and coastal residents to take “extreme precautions” due to high surf, intense rain, and the risk of swollen rivers, flooding, and landslides in vulnerable areas.
Threats to Mexico
A tropical storm warning was activated from Playa Perula to San Blas and for Las Islas Marías. The Mexican government downgraded the hurricane warning between Playa Perula and Cabo Corrientes, discontinuing all warnings south of Playa Perula, the NHC reported.
The warning indicated expected tropical-storm conditions within the affected area within 12 hours. These conditions were projected to occur along the warned portion of mainland Mexico on Sunday morning and in Las Islas Marías during the afternoon.
In addition to heavy rainfall forecasted for Jalisco, Trudy’s outer bands were predicted to bring an extra 1 to 2 inches of rain, with isolated totals near 4 inches, along the coast in northern Colima and southern Nayarit. The agency noted that the rainfall “may result in localized flash flooding, especially in areas along steep terrain.”
Trudy is forecasted to turn west-northwest Sunday night and pass south of Baja California Sur on Monday and Tuesday. “Rapid weakening is expected to begin tonight, and Trudy could degenerate to a post-tropical low by Tuesday night,” the NHC stated.
Active Pacific Season
While Trudy posed a threat in the eastern Pacific, the Atlantic remained notably calm during the hurricane season of 2026. As of Sunday morning, Trudy was the only active tropical cyclone listed by the NHC across the Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and central Pacific basins.
The agency stated that there were “no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time,” while advisories remained active for Trudy in the eastern Pacific.
Further development in the Pacific is possible, according to the NHC, which noted that a low-pressure area was predicted to form well offshore of southern Mexico within a couple of days. A tropical depression is likely to develop around midweek as the system moves west to west-northwest, well south of the country. The agency assigned a seven-day development probability at 80 percent.
Despite Trudy’s threat in the eastern Pacific, the Atlantic has seen an unusually quiet hurricane season, even after passing through its climatological peak. Only one of the basin’s nine named storms in 2026, Isaias, has intensified into a hurricane through October 18, according to the NHC.
Data from the NHC revealed the season running five hurricanes below the 1991-2020 average and its accumulated cyclone energy, or ACE, at 83 percent below normal. This indicates the unusually limited hurricane activity in the Atlantic this year.