Polling data from Civiqs, comprising responses from 117,851 registered voters, reveals that President Donald Trump’s approval ratings 18 months into his second term represent a still-divided political landscape. A Newsweek analysis highlights that while Trump’s early advantages have diminished, the long-standing partisan division remains.
National Overview
As of July 17, 2026, Trump holds a 37 percent approval rating nationally, with a disapproval rating of 58 percent, leading to a net approval rating of -21. This trend is echoed in state-by-state analysis, with strongest support in Republican states and weakest in Democratic bastions.
Key Points
- Trump is underwater in major battleground states 18 months into his term.
- His strongest support remains in Wyoming, North Dakota, and Idaho.
- Several states with initial positive support are now negative.
- Younger voters, independents, and postgraduates are among his weakest demographics.
Deep Red States
Trump maintains positive net approval across Republican territories, though the margins have narrowed since his return to office in January 2025. Wyoming leads with a +24 net approval, followed by North Dakota (+18), Idaho (+14), and West Virginia (+16). Despite positive support, these states show a notable decline in approval ratings.
Kentucky exemplifies this trend, shifting from a +23 net approval to neutral.
Swing States
Swing states present a challenge for Trump, as approval ratings are negative across all major battlegrounds:
- Arizona: -11
- Georgia: -21
- Nevada: -21
- North Carolina: -13
- Pennsylvania: -14
- Wisconsin: -15
- Florida: -12
- Ohio: -11
Significant drops have been seen in states like Florida, which fell from +9 to -12, and Ohio, which decreased from +8 to -11.
Deep Blue States
Trump’s opposition remains strong in Democratic regions, with Hawaii at a net approval of -59, Vermont at -55, and Massachusetts at -46. These areas have shown consistent disapproval since the start of his term.
Demographic Insights
Data breakdown by demographics shows Trump’s weakest support among younger voters, with only 24 percent approval among 18-34 year-olds. Independents and women also exhibit low approval at 30 percent and 31 percent. Among postgraduates, Trump receives just 25 percent approval compared with 71 percent disapproval.
Declines in Approval
Every state has reported a decrease in approval ratings from January 2025. Wyoming dropped from +47 to +24. Florida saw a decrease from +9 to -12, while Nevada went from neutral to -21.
State Margins Tighten
Several states now hover around the balance of positive and negative perceptions. Indiana (+3), Utah (+4), and Nebraska (-1) illustrate this tightening partisan landscape.
Overall Map Analysis
The political map reflects familiar partisan loyalties, but with reduced margins for Trump compared to January 2025.
White House Perspective
The White House cites Trump’s 2024 election victory as evidence of public support, emphasizing the importance of the over 80 million votes he received. Spokesman Davis Ingle states this endorses Trump’s agenda, highlighting ongoing efforts to implement his policies.