President Donald Trump announced on Monday that he is considering firing U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle following reports about her conduct, expressing dissatisfaction with the current situation.
Prediction market site Kalshi revealed increasing probabilities for her dismissal by year’s end. Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso also remarked on the need for investigation into these concerning reports, according to the Associated Press (AP).
The AP reported that both Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are upset about Guilfoyle’s conduct, with decisions likely to be made about her future soon, based on a senior U.S. official’s statements.
The allegations against Guilfoyle include asking a Republican donor to wire $100,000 to cover her credit card bill before her Senate confirmation hearing. Speculative reports also address alleged luxury travel and her associations with Greek business figures.
“Ambassadors are political appointees. When reports raise questions about gifts, travel, or access, the White House has to treat them as a personnel issue first.”
Newsweek contacted Guilfoyle’s attorney, Jesse Binnall, and the White House for comments.
What Prediction Markets Show
Kalshi reported a substantial rise in odds for Guilfoyle’s removal as ambassador before specific dates in 2026. Odds stood at 43.6 percent on Sunday for removal before November 1, 2026, increasing to 73.9 percent by Monday night. Similar trends showed odds for removal before December 1 rising from 79.9 percent to 85 percent.
Prediction market site Polymarket indicated a 73 percent chance of Guilfoyle’s removal by October 31, and a 78 percent chance by December 31, 2026.
Guilfoyle’s Lawyers Speak Out Amid Allegations
The allegations against Guilfoyle, once engaged to Donald Trump Jr., intensified after The Wall Street Journal published texts seemingly asking Trump donor Eric Deters to cover her American Express bill for access to senior officials.
Guilfoyle’s lawyers, David Schwartz and Jesse Binnall, have denied any wrongdoing, describing the money as payment for prior services like speaking engagements, according to the AP.
A political analyst, Craig Agranoff, commented on the situation, noting that an ambassador’s office cannot appear compromised, particularly when tied to high-profile family connections to the president.
Investigations aim to find if Guilfoyle received any favors or gifts from businessmen. Rubio, in Athens, remarked positively about the embassy’s performance but held back statements regarding the allegations.
Vice President JD Vance emphasized the importance of verifying facts before addressing the consequences of any misconduct.