Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leads Republican Representative Mike Collins by 7 points in the Georgia Senate race according to a recent poll. This race is crucial for the Democrats seeking Senate control in the 2026 midterms. Georgia has shifted to a battleground state, supporting President Donald Trump in 2016 and 2024 while backing President Joe Biden in 2020. Ossoff is a strong Democrat in the state, with potential for a presidential run in 2028.
Latest Polling Data
The InsiderAdvantage poll found 50% of surveyed voters support Ossoff, while 43% back Collins, with 7% undecided. The poll, involving 800 likely voters from August 16 to August 17, has a margin of error of ±3.46 percentage points. It was first reported by James Magazine, a Georgia political publication.
“Georgia is a battleground state and Senator Ossoff is already facing millions of dollars of Republican spending against him. The Ossoff campaign will continue to build unstoppable momentum and work to earn every vote across the state of Georgia.” – Ossoff’s spokesperson
Republican Response
Josh Siegel, Collins’ Campaign Manager, stated that Collins has closed the gap significantly with limited spending. Siegel criticized Ossoff’s voting record, implying dissatisfaction among Georgians.
The race is rated as “Likely Democrat” by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and as “Lean Democrat” by both the Cook Political Report and Fox News Senate Forecast.
Other Poll Results
AARP’s recent poll shows Ossoff leading by 9 points, polling 52% to Collins’ 43%. The survey polled 1,060 likely voters in July 2026, with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
A Wick survey from June 2026 shows Ossoff up by 4 points, at 46.7% to Collins’ 42.9%. A Fox News poll demonstrates a more significant lead for Ossoff at 56% to Collins’ 43%.
Prediction Markets’ Outlook
Ossoff’s odds in prediction markets have increased over the past month. On Kalshi, his chances of winning have risen to 91.3% from 87%. On Polymarket, his chances improved to 94% from 86%. These markets reflect traders’ current sentiment but do not ensure future outcomes.
Georgia Governor Race
The Georgia governor race is tight between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson. Both received 46% support in a recent InsiderAdvantage poll, with undecided voters at 8%. The governor race seems more competitive than the Senate race.
Contentious Exchanges Over Trump
This week, Ossoff criticized Trump’s relationship with aide Natalie Harp, claiming Trump neglects presidential duties. Such comments have sparked responses, including a social media repost by White House communications director Steven Cheung, who attacked Ossoff using derogatory language.
Ossoff’s National Prospects
Ossoff is seen as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender, though he denies interest. Still, in early 2028 polling, he registers a modest support level.
Prediction markets on Kalshi give him a 16% chance of winning the Democratic nomination, placing him as a significant contender in comparison to notable figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Democrats’ Path to Senate Control
To regain Senate control, Democrats must hold their Georgia seat and capture additional seats. Current challenges include defending seats in Georgia and Michigan, both won by Trump in 2024. Competitive races in Maine, North Carolina, and additional states such as Alaska and Iowa are crucial for Democratic ambitions.